Daniel Lynch

Daniel Lynch

27-Year-Old PitcherSP
Kansas City Royals
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Lynch now has three years of major league experience under his depth, and the overall results do not tell the whole story. His 11-23 career record with a 5.18 ERA and 9.9% K-BB% are tough on the eyeballs, but he has shown improvements at times year over year. His 2023 progress was stunted by shoulder troubles which saw his strikeout rate plummet as his fastball lost nearly two miles an hour in the process. The shining star on his 2023 resume was a changeup he threw exclusively to righties that the league hit .125 against while swinging and missing 35% of the time. Lynch's current value is rock bottom and frankly, still not mixed league viable, but if his shoulder is 100 percent recovered and he can get back some of his lost velocity to pair with that changeup to righties and his slider to lefties, he may finally be able to provide some value to AL-Only fantasy managers this season. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#597
ADP
$Signed a one-year contract with the Royals in March of 2023.
Optioned to Triple-A
PKansas City Royals  AAA
March 20, 2024
The Royals optioned Lynch to Triple-A Omaha on Wednesday.
ANALYSIS
Lynch had been making a strong case to open the season in Kansas City's rotation by posting a 2.77 ERA and 1.08 WHIP across 13 innings of spring ball. However, the 27-year-old left-hander will return to Omaha to begin the new campaign. Lynch allowed seven earned runs over 20 innings in Triple-A last season, and he could find himself back in Kansas City if he performs similarly in the minors.
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Pitching Stats
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2023
2022
2021
2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-14%
BAA vs RHP
2024
No Stats
2023
 
 
-31%
BAA vs RHP
2022
 
 
-7%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2022vs Left .316 108 17 10 30 4 0 2
Since 2022vs Right .272 715 139 58 175 28 2 28
2024vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2024vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023vs Left .333 32 4 1 10 0 0 0
2023vs Right .230 191 30 15 40 8 1 9
2022vs Left .308 76 13 9 20 4 0 2
2022vs Right .287 524 109 43 135 20 1 19
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-33%
ERA on Road
2024
No Stats
2023
 
 
-62%
ERA on Road
2022
 
 
-22%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2022Home 6.08 1.54 84.1 3 7 0 7.2 3.1 1.7
Since 2022Away 4.06 1.43 99.2 4 10 0 8.0 3.5 1.3
2024Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2024Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023Home 6.59 1.46 27.1 2 2 0 7.6 3.6 2.0
2023Away 2.52 1.04 25.0 1 2 0 4.0 1.8 1.1
2022Home 5.84 1.58 57.0 1 5 0 6.9 2.8 1.6
2022Away 4.58 1.57 74.2 3 8 0 9.4 4.1 1.3
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Prospect Rankings History
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Daniel Lynch See More
Spring Training Job Battles: American League Late-March Update
25 days ago
Eight job battles have received significant updates this week, including Opening Day decisions on two top prospects and changes to three closer situations.
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38 days ago
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Mound Musings: A Look at Pitching in the AL Central
48 days ago
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Spring Training Job Battles: AL Central
50 days ago
The weak AL Central is full of spots still up for grabs as camp begins, though the most interesting contest is probably the battle for the Twins' fifth starter job.
The Z Files: Projecting Pitcher's BABIP
95 days ago
Todd Zola considers a new approach to regressing a pitcher's BABIP, which suggests better days should be ahead for Hunter Greene.
Latest Fantasy Rumors
Early exit from rehab start
PKansas City Royals  AAA
July 7, 2022
Lynch, who is rehabbing from a finger injury left Wednesday's rehab outing early after experiencing soreness in his finger, reports Anne Rogers of MLB.com.
ANALYSIS
In his first rehab start since going on the injured list with a blister, Lynch tossed three innings and allowed two runs on five hits and three walks. Royals manager Mike Matheny did not appear worried by the soreness and declared Lynch was still "moving in the right direction." The start Wednesday lines Lynch up for a possible return Monday when Kansas City has a doubleheader with Detroit.
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
The Royals had one of the worst rotations in the majors last season, and unfortunately, Lynch was part of the problem there. He pitched to a 5.13 ERA, 1.57 WHIP and 122:52 K:BB across 131.2 innings spanning 27 starts in his first full season. His 3.6 BB/9 stands out as the biggest issue -- he'll need to trim that down by about one walk per nine innings to really start finding effectiveness. He surrendered less than a home run per start, but hitters still tagged him for a 47.7 percent hard-hit rate. His 19.2 percent whiff rate on a 94 mph fastball that he threw nearly half of the time in 2022 simply isn't good enough. Lynch has a chance to make the rotation again in 2023, but there are improvements to be made -- with the Royals changing their pitching coach, new input could be a benefit for the southpaw.
Lynch made his major-league debut last season and made 15 starts for the Royals, and he had a 5.69 ERA, 1.63 WHIP and 55:31 K:BB across 68 innings. He entered the campaign as the organization's top pitching prospect, but his 7.7 percent K-BB% is a good indicator of his struggles in his first taste of the big leagues. The 25-year-old could begin the season at the back end of Kansas City's starting rotation, but it may require the team to employ a six-man rotation, so his role may not be stable.
Kansas City's host of prized young pitchers started to debut last season, but Lynch, who entered the year as the team's top pitching prospect remained at the alternate training site. The 6-foot-6 southpaw has more electric stuff than Brady Singer or Kris Bubic, but harnessing that stuff and developing his changeup required more time than the condensed season provided. He sits in the mid-90s with his fastball (touches 99) and already boasts a wipeout slider, so Lynch may have been called upon to debut out of the bullpen had the Royals factored into the postseason picture. He made strides with his changeup all summer and is now comfortable throwing it to same-handed hitters. The 24-year-old also throws an average curveball. If Lynch's command and changeup look ready, he should join the big-league rotation in the first half of this season.
Lynch, the 34th-overall pick in 2018, missed almost two months in the middle of the year with arm soreness, but he was very effective when healthy and finished the year strong in the Arizona Fall League. He is pretty advanced in that he throws four usable pitches (fastball and slider are plus, fringe-average changeup is his fourth-best offering) and has good command/control (7.0 BB% at High-A). However, at 6-foot-6, 190 pounds he is also very projectable with a chance to add velocity (fastball already sits 94-95 mph) and develop even better command. The wiry southpaw was one of the best pitchers in the AFL, logging a 19:4 K:BB in 14 innings while setting the stage for an assignment to Double-A for his age-23 season. As things stand, he projects to be a solid No. 3 starter, but if his curveball and changeup improve, he could be better than that. His future home park and division add to the appeal.
Royals GM Dayton Moore embraced his Atlanta Braves roots in the first draft of his full-on rebuild, selecting five pitchers in the first 58 picks. Lynch, who received an under-slot $1.6975 million bonus after getting popped with the 34th overall pick, had the best debut of those five hurlers. He was absolutely dominant over 51.1 innings in the Appy League and Sally League, with more strikeouts (61) than baserunners (53) and a 26.8 K-BB% that would have led all Low-A and High-A pitchers had he thrown enough innings to qualify. He also posted a groundball rate over 50% across both stops. A 6-foot-6, 190-pound southpaw out of Virginia, Lynch commands a plus 93-95 mph fastball, which allows him to get into favorable counts. From there, he is able to sit hitters down with a plethora of quality offspeed pitches -- his plus mid-80s slider is his best secondary offering. He should move quickly in his age-22 season, likely finishing the year at Double-A or Triple-A.
More Fantasy News
Making case for rotation
PKansas City Royals  AAA
March 18, 2024
Lynch has allowed four runs on nine hits and five walks with nine strikeouts over 13 innings across five Cactus League appearances (three starts).
ANALYSIS
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Heathiest he's been in two years
PKansas City Royals  AAA
February 19, 2024
Lynch (shoulder) said Sunday that he's feeling "probably the best I've felt in two years," Anne Rogers of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Pitching in Arizona Fall League
PKansas City Royals  AAA
Shoulder
October 26, 2023
Lynch (shoulder) is pitching in an Arizona Fall League game Thursday, Jonathan Mayo of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Begins rehab assignment
PKansas City Royals  AAA
Shoulder
September 21, 2023
Lynch (shoulder) began a rehab assignment with Triple-A Omaha on Thursday.
ANALYSIS
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Nearing rehab assignment
PKansas City Royals  AAA
Shoulder
September 19, 2023
Lynch (shoulder) will throw a bullpen session with Triple-A Omaha this week and is expected to make at least one rehab appearance there soon, MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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